In an article entitled, “Trump keeps claiming that the most dangerous cities in America are all run by Democrats. They aren’t,” the Washington Post correspondent Philip Bump claimed that Trump has made some false claims.
The irony? The fact check completely supported Trump’s claims.
The article was meant to prove Trump wrong. Trump’s claim was that the 20 most violent cities in the U.S. are all Democratic-run.
Mr. Bump set out to prove this theory wrong.
(I’ll link the original WashingtonPost article at the bottom of the page.)
This is a direct quote from Trump at a press briefing last Wednesday;
“You hear about certain places like Chicago and you hear about what’s going on in Detroit and other — other cities, all Democrat run,” he said. “Every one of them is Democrat run. Twenty out of 20. The 20 worst, the 20 most dangerous are Democrat run.”
Here’s Bump’s response to the data I’ll post below:
It’s not clear how Trump is defining “most dangerous” in this context. So let’s look at two related sets of data compiled by the FBI: most violent crime and most violent crime per capita.
The most recent data to that effect is from the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report covering the first half of 2019. The cities with the most violent crimes are many of the most populous cities in the country, as you might expect. Those with the highest rates of violent crime are from a range of different states.
Most of the current mayors of these cities are Democrats. Two of the mayors of cities with the most reported violent crimes overall, though, are independents and one, the mayor of Jacksonville, Fla., is a Republican. Among the 20 cities with the most violent crime per capita, one isn’t a Democrat: the independent mayor of Springfield, Mo.
So 17/20 of the cities with the most violent crimes reported are Democrat-run, two and independent, and one is Republican.
The second metric he used, “per capita,” only has 1/20 that is not a Democrat.
Here are his graphs.
The writer goes on to make some statements that explain where he is going – but don’t really validate the title of the article.
Trump would no doubt shrug at that detail, decrying as “fake news” the revelation that his assertion was only slightly wrong. And, in fairness, it actually doesn’t matter that four of the 32 cities listed above have non-Democratic mayors — because it doesn’t really matter that the other mayors are Democrats.
Cities generally have more crime than suburban and rural areas. That’s been true for decades if not centuries and is true across the planet. The connection has been the focus of repeated research. In other words, if it were the case that cities were also more prone to elect members of one party over another, it might seem as though the most crime-riddled places in America were a function of leadership from that party.
While Philip may have a point, he still invalidated hir original claim. Here’s his final statements:
Since there’s a correlation between size and amount of crime and between size and propensity to vote Democratic, it’s problematic to draw a causal relationship between crime and Democratic leadership. It may be the case that cities with more crime are more likely to have Democratic leaders. Such a comparison, though, is fraught, relying on the validity of reported crime data, the metric used to establish which cities are included in the analysis, the time period under consideration and so on.
Read the full Washington Post article here.
What do you think? Is it because the cities are led by Democrats, or they just happen to be more violent anyway?
Let me know in the comments below. I read them all.
Liberalism! Pretty appRent to me.
After the election the trash reporters have spewed, Hollywood Obama and his mistress in treason Hillary the blm are not going to like what happens to their woke movement used to overthrow America! There has been an awakening but it’s the antithesis of what these treasonous democrats wanted. America knows it’s at war now and We Know its the democrats! And we assure you you will be cast out and held accountable for your crimes of treason for eternity! The democrats have set up the blm to take the fall but America will make sure all perpetrators are brought to… Read more »
Over the years the Dems have captured virtually all of the largest cities with liberal policies that appease the general population and especially they have target the black population to vote to keep them in office. Often conservatives leave or are out numbered to vote in a conservative, who might require voter ID to protect the voting system. With liberal policies there is a green light for radicals to live by their own codes, such as we see in Chicago with the gangs in constant warfare.
Perhaps add how many years or terms each of those troublesome cities has been controlled by democrat party elected officials & courts. Then add how well or poorly their liberal schools and “news” outlets have prepared their residents to become criminals rather than law-abiding citizens. Then include how many illegal persons reside in their limits. Unfortunately, the evils of liberalism and the democrat party platform far outweigh any possible good. This may be the penultimate place & time to advocate the values of “one term only” and get rid of corrupted party politics & politicians. Finally, in a socially distanced… Read more »
From MN. Appalled at the lack of leadership in our Democrat controlled state to put a stop to the rioting, looting and burning of over 300 businesses, including a police precinct and post office, that was allowed to occur in St. Paul and Minneapolis! No intervention for 3 days by Democrat governor and Democrat mayors. It took our President to intervene and the national guard was finally brought in to protect infrastructure and to quell the violence. Mayor Frey of Minneapolis stayed that buildings are only brick and mortar. What about the livings people made in those buildings? Insanity!
I would like to know how many years these cities were under Demonic Rat control and poverty rate….
Detroit has had Democrat mayors since 1961. About the same for Baltimore, St.Louis, Chicago.
Maybe the dufus who wrote the article could have looked at cities who were demoloon controlled, switched to republican and then back to demoloon.
NYC under Juliani comes to mind. And now under deBlasio?
Get over yourselves demoloons, even when it’s in print, in front of your faces you refuse to see Trump is right.
Idiots, all demoloons are idiots.
Jesus, when are people going to wake up! It’s not about the truth with these people, it’s about feeding their followers lies! They couldn’t care less if it’s true or not! If they did you’d see a retraction and you won’t! They know that if they put it out there for their followers they will run with it as though it is the truth! If you haven’t seen this already you’re sleeping!
It’s because of being Demorat. Part of their agenda is to let the undesirable ones as they call us non rich people, kill ourselves out. That way they don’t have to take the blame for depopulation
Considering that Democrats have called for abolishing ICE, defunding the police, amnesty for 30-40 million criminals and just generally display a complete disregard for law, I would say that there is certainly a case to be made that it does make a difference. If cities just inherently have more crime why (almost) no cities with Republican leadership?
New York City had crime ‘under control’
During Republican administration
There is no hoop a Trump hating Demoncrat or RINO will not jump through , no logic twisting, spinning, contorting they will not engage in. And the beauty of all of this is the Trump Persona machinery which compels them to self-identify as to what they actually are. The Press is no longer considered Mainstream in anything they report, though they cling to the notion like a rat on a sinking ship scrambling for anything that floats. Delusional is the only true and accurate descriptive one can afford them…and the kindest. The reality behind most of their behavior is far… Read more »
Big cities have always been problematic with crime, however party affiliation hasn’t always been of one,they’re as diverse as people are insomuch as there is good and evil, both prevail respectively.
The biggest crime is in cities run by Demoncrat mayors
First, Washington Post “fact checker” are purely propagandists for the leftist. They’ll change the wording in a quote, they use dubious source, they’ll change the object of someone’s comment, and use other sub traduce to get the result they want from their “fact check”. They are “tools”., no more, no less.
It is too big a pattern to ignore! Look at the cities and what the Democratic politicians have done there! That is why descent people are escaping if they have the resources to do so.
Well if Phillip can prove anything he said. Then please be free to explain why it these city MAYOR who has REFUSED TO HANDLE THE PROBLEM IN THEIR DEMOCRAT CITY? GUESS he also didn’t do his research well. Just to show how much of a journalist he is! Much like one who couldn’t get a job with the paper of his choice! He also need to explain how these GOVERNOR ARE PLAYING THE RACE CARD! NC GOVERNOR shut down a dirt track racing when he REFUSED TO SHUT DOWN PROTESTER IN HUS STATE! Now we have a spike of coronavirus… Read more »
May be there are a couple of cities with high crime that are not run by democrats but the majority of them are. The democrats are supporting and assisting the BLM and Antifa which are both domestic terrorist groups. The democrats want to take D.T. out of office and will do what ever they can do do just that.
Trump is right and I agree with him. He’s the best President we’ve ever had to lead us in my 81 and 1/2 years in America. He’s for America first. Antifa and BLM are Marxist and communist. Socialist is just a cover for them. Dems are going with Satan. Trump is supporting the right way to live. He is right 99,9% of the time. We bind him up in prayer.
Pedophile Joe will pick Kamala, 200 young black men will be murdered EVERY DAY in this country, 1,000 blacks will be aborted EVERY DAY. NO ONE has done more damage to black families and black lives than these two. Biden Kamala 2020 ?? A racists dream team
You can wonder why Democrat SUPPORT PLANNED PARENTHOOD! The founder of this company is a big time RACIST AND HATER OF BLACK PEOPLE! But Democrat continue pushing million of taxpayers money to this organization! Could say they support killing off the black race even the black POLITICAN who are DEMONcrat!
MORE CRIMINALS, NO MATTER THEIR SKIN COLOR LIVE IN THE CITIES AND PREY ON THE POOR PEOPLE THAT LIVE THERE AND CAN’T AFFORD TO MOVE!
It’s interesting to consider which came first…the old “chicken and egg” question…Does Democratic leadership lead to higher crime rate, or do criminally-minded people (non-law-abiders) tend to vote Democrat…maybe it’s all of the above…Either way, I feel sorry for the victims in these crime-ridden areas.